
ALEXIS
MINERALS -
TECH REPORTS - ANALYST PICKS -
MANAGEMENT
GEOPOLITICAL RISK
Ben Abelson of Resource Investor
Date: Sep 2007
LAS VEGAS -- By its nature,
mining and exploration is a highly cost-intensive process, often
requiring high levels of equity issuance - and the dilution of existing
shareholders. In coupling fully-funded near-term production with
tremendous exploration upside, Alexis Minerals [TSX:AMC]
may have found a solution to the problem that has vexed mining
shareholders throughout this latest cyclical turn.
Under the stewardship of David Rigg, a
veteran in the Canadian mining industry, Alexis is rapidly progressing
toward production on two properties in Northern Quebec - with the goal
of using this cash flow to support exploration activity at its
dramatically under-exploited property holdings.
Alexis’ near-term plans focus on two
properties located within 100 kilometres of each other in the Val D'Or
and Royun-Noranda mining camps, Lac Herbin and Lac Pelletier.
Lac Herbin, the more advanced of the two,
is set to produce approximately 10,000 ounces of gold toward the end of
this year, with a ramp up to around 45,000 ounces per annum by next
year.
A
feasibility study
recently published by Alexis outlined a potential for four years of
production at a cash cost of about $400 per ounce for total net cash
flow over the life of mine of C$20.1 million at $625/oz gold.
The deposit currently has measure and
indicated resources of 125,000 ounces, with another 167,000 inferred
ounces - at very high grades of about 7-8 grams per tonne. At face
value, this doesn’t appear to justify much more than Alexis’ current
C$75 million market cap.
The potential from Alexis, however, comes
when you factor in the potential production from Lac Pelletier, and the
strong blue-sky exploration potential.
Alexis is working to develop Lac
Pelletier, located in the Royun-Noranda camp, to hopefully produce
another 45,000 ounces per year of gold by mid-2008, according to a
recent
scoping study
- which would provide enough throughput for the company to process its
own ore using the Aurbel mine it acquired a couple years back.
While a feasibility study isn’t yet
complete on Lac Pelletier, it already contains 241,000 measured and
indicated ounces, and is currently being drilled out further.
Ultimately, however, the resources at
both Lac Herbin and Lac Pelletier show the promise of significant
expansion. At Lac Herbin, for example, drill holes at depth in the S1
zone (below the current delineated resource base), have intersected very
high-grade samples.
The nature of deposits in the area are
large, oblong deposits that could extend to depth up to 1km, Rigg said
during an interview at the
Las Vegas Hard Assets Conference.
Given his experience helping to develop
both the Goldex and LaRonde deposits, he’s a man who should know what
he’s talking about.
Investors should know soon - Alexis is
currently working to deliver an updated, NI 43-101 compliant resource
estimate for the project. Ultimately, Rigg vocally says that he believes
the combination of the two mines could develop into a 1.5 million ounce
deposit.
Coupled with the fact that Alexis has
C$15 million cash in the bank and another C$17 million in exploration
rebates due from the Quebec government, the company appears to be fully
funded through to production, and is unlikely to have to undertake a
further equity issuance to meet cash needs.
Blue Sky Potential
While undoubtedly a speculative
investment, the exploration potential of Alexis (and the way it is
funding that exploration), ultimately is what makes this a story one
that shouldn’t be ignored.
Riggs’ ultimate hope is to discover a
world-class deposit amongst the company’s 1000 square kilometres of
exploration properties in some of Canada’s most prolific gold districts.
While this endeavour is far from guaranteed, the company has the
management team and exploration background to put it among all other
serious contenders - plus the near-term production and cash-flow
necessary to get it done without asking shareholders to write a check.
While the small-scale production story
probably isn’t enough to interest any larger gold miners in taking
control of Alexis, its massive land holdings in a highly-productive
region could be. With the potential to stumble upon a large scale
deposit - and the funding ability to do so – it’s not hard to believe
that Alexis could go the way of another great copper
exploration-development story in Val D'Or, Aur Resources [TSX:AUR].